Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2951.377844 3190.750434 3433.404430 3697.477334 3976.431139 4262.016416 4576.160631
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2547.735565 2902.062360 3274.859135 3695.082589 4154.325143 4639.729548 5190.314367
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2331.270843 2759.710159 3222.865691 3758.207741 4357.323009 5004.586223 5754.111987
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2113.509239 2587.950363 3113.071880 3733.214808 4441.271100 5220.276538 6137.798486
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1997.167754 2516.836687 3103.576164 3808.983857 4627.753197 5541.972755 6633.532690
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1869.222819 2420.648181 3055.002399 3830.425673 4744.169611 5778.235838 7028.153959
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1748.503898 2323.764744 2997.343598 3833.586655 4832.865480 5977.731746 7377.110735
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1583.434512 2162.853967 2854.016961 3726.024129 4783.113323 6009.488608 7525.500891
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1547.865528 2158.847816 2897.971875 3841.808043 4998.234684 6352.296971 8040.018061
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1496.412184 2131.062937 2909.615870 3915.691802 5161.295597 6632.912525 8481.828815
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1414.937114 2060.189105 2863.515615 3914.614663 5230.140287 6798.823622 8785.881194
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1328.334702 1978.066083 2799.098611 3886.819601 5262.887539 6918.795061 9033.209071
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1273.116079 1936.054495 2785.432231 3923.670288 5377.850633 7142.298360 9411.656130
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1204.799786 1873.205501 2742.096900 3920.446152 5441.210756 7302.191620 9713.443269
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1169.270613 1853.119475 2753.240008 3986.413363 5591.658840 7570.123662 10149.508386
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1100.860677 1783.923385 2696.045529 3960.294536 5622.145388 7687.017023 10397.869126
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1076.425733 1775.314027 2719.213710 4039.470848 5788.162611 7974.562190 10860.382221
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1033.147902 1737.557355 2700.902886 4061.873712 5879.460697 8167.463271 11204.918882
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 985.946977 1691.841662 2669.670355 4065.176255 5944.508724 8326.403902 11506.864963
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 903.037279 1589.537078 2555.970588 3952.779580 5853.437300 8282.669483 11549.458707
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 900.601219 1607.730896 2612.083814 4073.765691 6073.902985 8641.900261 12108.521553
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 884.511258 1604.239651 2636.714178 4150.947999 6235.961108 8926.395021 12573.638929
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 845.300580 1563.364905 2606.105014 4149.822886 6291.565687 9071.988164 12860.385348